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  1. #1
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    Joey Gallo's historic K-rate and BABiP

    Anyone who watches sports has probably heard that Joey Gallo had a HR in each of his first two MLB games, but has everyone seen how crazy his K-rate is?

    As of this moment, Gallo has two Ks in two ABs in his third game. That gives him six on the season in eleven ABs.

    Gallo's K-rate is .600. His batting avg is .400. His BABiP is 1.000.

    Obviously some regression is expected in the BABiP department, but it seems the avg of 2 Ks per game may be more norm than deviant.

  2. #2
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    Re: Joey Gallo's historic K-rate and BABiP

    He has faced two very tough lefties which will affect most LH batters especially a 21 yr old rookie but yes he swings big, hits big and misses big. Shocking...no.

  3. #3
    Senior Member xpress34's Avatar
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    Re: Joey Gallo's historic K-rate and BABiP

    Really? Let's rip on a guy in the middle of only his 3rd MLB game???

    SMH.

  4. #4
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    Re: Joey Gallo's historic K-rate and BABiP

    Quote Originally Posted by xpress34 View Post
    Really? Let's rip on a guy in the middle of only his 3rd MLB game???

    SMH.
    I wasn't ripping on him. It was more that I was amazed that he had a 1.000 BABiP at that point. It's now gone down, since he apparently flew out to center in the sixth inning of today's game.

    SMH at you SYH at someone commenting on K rates of a prospect who has shown a long swing throughout his minor league career, as well:

    296 G
    1056 AB
    104 HR
    429 K

    Yes, he has a ton of power, but he also has a LOT of swing and miss.

  5. #5
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    Re: Joey Gallo's historic K-rate and BABiP

    And for those of you who (like me) didn't know what SMH stands for, it's "shaking my head." I only found this out two weeks ago by asking my friend about it.

  6. #6
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    Re: Joey Gallo's historic K-rate and BABiP

    It was 2 games.......there is nothing historic about that small of a sample size.

    I think this thread should be locked due to the amount of abbreviations used...it has to violate some rule..........

  7. #7
    Senior Member xpress34's Avatar
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    Re: Joey Gallo's historic K-rate and BABiP

    Quote Originally Posted by danesei@yahoo.com View Post
    I wasn't ripping on him. It was more that I was amazed that he had a 1.000 BABiP at that point. It's now gone down, since he apparently flew out to center in the sixth inning of today's game.

    SMH at you SYH at someone commenting on K rates of a prospect who has shown a long swing throughout his minor league career, as well:

    296 G
    1056 AB
    104 HR
    429 K

    Yes, he has a ton of power, but he also has a LOT of swing and miss.
    And that could change. Example? On the Defensive side, Nolan Arenado was said to be a defensive liability - even as he was moving from AA to AAA. Now he's putting on another showcase as he looks to take his 3rd consecutive Gold Glove at 3rd base.

    I personally think you're making too much out of nothing. When he has a season or two under his belt, then is the time to start analyzing his numbers.

  8. #8
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    Re: Joey Gallo's historic K-rate and BABiP

    Quote Originally Posted by xpress34 View Post
    And that could change. Example? On the Defensive side, Nolan Arenado was said to be a defensive liability - even as he was moving from AA to AAA. Now he's putting on another showcase as he looks to take his 3rd consecutive Gold Glove at 3rd base.
    I'd actually be interested to read about that. My impression (before Arenado made the major league club) was that he was a defense first player. I vaguely recall he was defensive player of the year in 2011 for the Cal League, which would have been high-A ball.

  9. #9

    Re: Joey Gallo's historic K-rate and BABiP

    This thread is a joke right? 2 game statistics? Seriously?

  10. #10
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    Re: Joey Gallo's historic K-rate and BABiP

    Quote Originally Posted by johnsontravis@ymail.com View Post
    This thread is a joke right? 2 game statistics? Seriously?
    334 games and counting:

    MiLB + MLB stats
    334 G
    1193 AB
    115 HR
    488 K

    Beyond that, isn't the entire point of prospects to be amazed by small sample sizes? Gallo's numbers (on both ends) are unprecedented. The closest comparison appears to be Giancarlo Stanton.

    Comparisons of small sample sizes:
    MiLB K% and AB/HR rates
    Joey Gallo (2012-2014/2015 so far; age 18-20/21): .406/.406 & 10.15/10.42
    Giancarlo Stanton (2007-2010; age 17-20): .310 & 13.43
    Adam Dunn (1998-2001; age 18-21): .224 & 19.17
    Bryce Harper (2010-2011; age 17-18): .232 & 23.44
    Kris Bryant (2013-2014; age 21-22): .318 & 4.37
    Anthony Rizzo (2007-2012; age 17-22): .230 & 19.46
    Corey Seager (2012-2015; age 18-21): .219 & 23.60
    Miguel Cabrera (2000-2003; age 17-20): .187 & 51.41
    Chris Davis (2006-2011; age 20-25): .272 & 15.31
    Ryan Howard (2001-2005; age 21-25): .316 & 16.79

    Gallo has age both on his side and working against him. If he's able to work on his recognition on breaking balls, he could turn out to be an even more powerful version of Stanton. However, he's also a year older than Stanton was at the same level (second time through AA), producing similar numbers.

    Gallo can be great, but historically high K-rates have been 100 points lower than his K-rates to this point. That's a huge chasm to overcome.

 

 

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